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CNN Ballot: Biden holds commanding lead in New Hampshire Democratic main | CNN Politics



President Joe Biden stays the unquestioned chief within the New Hampshire Democratic presidential main, in line with a brand new CNN Ballot carried out by the College of New Hampshire.

Biden holds a commanding 78% help amongst seemingly Democratic main voters, with environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and creator Marianne Williamson each within the single digits (at 9% and 6%, respectively). Biden’s help has grown since a July UNH ballot discovered 70% of seemingly Democratic main voters supporting him. And a majority of main voters, together with three-quarters of Biden’s supporters, say their minds are undoubtedly made up.

The New Hampshire main is historically the primary within the nation. Its date for 2024 has not but been scheduled, although it’s broadly anticipated to be set for January. A January main in New Hampshire, nonetheless, would violate the Democratic Nationwide Committee’s guidelines. If that occurred, Biden seemingly wouldn’t put his title on the poll. However even in that case, 69% of Biden supporters say they’d write him in anyway.

Few seemingly Democratic main voters see believable alternate options to a Biden-led ticket. Simply 9% maintain a positive view of Williamson, with 47% viewing her unfavorably and the remaining impartial or not sure; Kennedy will get an an identical 9% favorability score, however with a 73% majority score him unfavorably. Simply 37% say there’s another person in addition to the present candidates they’d wish to see run within the Democratic main, however there’s little settlement as to whom: 7% of all seemingly Democratic main voters title Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, with smaller numbers suggesting Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg (5%), California Gov. Gavin Newsom (4%) or Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (3%).

When requested to call their prime concern about Biden as a candidate, 57% of seemingly Democratic main voters cite his age, with 4% mentioning his well being. Comparatively few issues centered on his character (6%), his insurance policies (4%) or assaults he would possibly face from opponents or the media (4%).

And few see a serious disconnect between their very own political beliefs and Biden’s. A 43% plurality say Biden’s ideology is just like their very own views, with 39% saying Biden’s views are additional proper than their very own (32% barely, simply 7% by far), and 16% that his views are additional left than theirs (9% barely, 7% far).

Youthful seemingly Democratic main voters are extra apt than older ones to see Biden as being to their proper ideologically (55% of these seemingly main voters youthful than 50 say so in contrast with 20% amongst these age 50 or older). Amongst voters age 50 or older, 61% say Biden’s ideology is just like their very own.

The CNN New Hampshire ballot was carried out on-line September 14-18 by the College of New Hampshire Survey Middle. Outcomes among the many full pattern of two,107 New Hampshire adults drawn from a probability-based panel have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.1 proportion factors. Possible Democratic main voters have been recognized by survey questions on their intention to vote. Outcomes amongst 953 seemingly Democratic main voters have an error margin of plus or minus 3.2 proportion factors; it’s bigger for subgroups.

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